Polidex 2026 Senate Predictions
Explore Polidex’s latest projections for upcoming Senate races and balance of power.
*All candidates' top donors were RNC and DNC related organizations that have been excluded.
Uncont.
Safe Dem
Likely Dem
Swing
Likely Rep
Safe Red
Uncontested
Most Competitive Senate Races
DemocratRepublicanIndependent center = 50%
State
Republican
Democrat
Predicted Vote % (50–60 mirrored)
in 100
MI
Republican
Democrat
50
57 in 100
GA
Republican
Jon Ossoff
50
59 in 100
NC
Republican
Roy Cooper
50
59 in 100
ME
Susan Collins
Democrat
50
59 in 100
OH
Jon Husted
Sherrod Brown
50
72 in 100
NE
Pete Rickets
Dan Osborn
50
77 in 100
TX
Republican
Democrat
50
82 in 100
IA
Republican
Democrat
50
86 in 100
NH
Republican
Chris Pappas
50
88 in 100
AK
Dan Sullivan
Democrat
50
88 in 100
Republicans favored to control the Senate
100 simulated outcomes; dots fill each column vertically and hug the rail horizontally.
Republicans win 90 in 100
Democrats win 10 in 100
Majority (50)
51
52
53
54
55
51
52
53
54
55
Current Senate
48
52
Senate Social & Economic Compass (2025)
Right = More Socially Liberal · Left = More Socially Conservative · Up = More Economically Progressive · Down = More Economically Conservative
Hover a dot for details. (Legend & importer removed by request.)