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Polidex 2026 Senate Predictions

Explore Polidex’s latest projections for upcoming Senate races and balance of power.

*All candidates' top donors were RNC and DNC related organizations that have been excluded.

Uncont. / Safe Dem
Likely Dem
Lean Dem
Swing
Lean Rep
Likely Rep
Safe / Uncont. Rep

Most Competitive Senate Races

DemocratRepublicanIndependent
ME
Susan Collins
Democrat
70
60
50
60
70
50 in 100
MI
Republican
Democrat
70
60
50
60
70
50 in 100
GA
Republican
Jon Ossoff
70
60
50
60
70
50 in 100
OH
Jon Husted
Sherrod Brown
70
60
50
60
70
50 in 100
NC
Republican
Roy Cooper
70
60
50
60
70
50 in 100
IA
Republican
Democrat
70
60
50
60
70
50 in 100
NE
Pete Ricketts
Dan Osborn
70
60
50
60
70
50 in 100
AK
Dan Sullivan
Democrat
70
60
50
60
70
50 in 100
TX
Republican
Democrat
70
60
50
60
70
50 in 100
NH
Republican
Chris Pappas
70
60
50
60
70
50 in 100
FL
Ashley Moody
Democrat
70
60
50
60
70
50 in 100
MN
Republican
Democrat
70
60
50
60
70
50 in 100
NM
Republican
Ben Ray Lujan
70
60
50
60
70
50 in 100

Current Senate

Democrats:47
Republicans:53