Polidex Forecasts that Abigail Spanberger
is the Favorite to Win the Governor’s Race.
Democrats have a 66% Chance of Victory. Predicted Margin: D +6.2%
* Virginia uses a closed primary system. Only registered party members may vote in their party’s primary election.
Abigail Spanberger
Democrat
51.2%
Chance of Victory
Democrats 66%
Winsome Earle-Sears
Republican
44.9%
County Forecast
County-level forecast will appear here when available.
Polling Average Trend
Hover over any point to see the D+/R+ margin.